Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000703 0.000801 0.000906 0.001025 0.001156 0.001295 0.001455
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000558 0.000697 0.000855 0.001045 0.001267 0.001518 0.001820
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000464 0.000616 0.000797 0.001026 0.001303 0.001627 0.002029
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000389 0.000548 0.000745 0.001003 0.001327 0.001716 0.002214
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000342 0.000507 0.000719 0.001005 0.001376 0.001832 0.002428
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000307 0.000477 0.000702 0.001016 0.001432 0.001956 0.002653
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000265 0.000432 0.000662 0.000991 0.001438 0.002013 0.002794
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000228 0.000390 0.000622 0.000962 0.001436 0.002057 0.002916
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000204 0.000366 0.000602 0.000959 0.001467 0.002144 0.003094
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000184 0.000344 0.000585 0.000958 0.001498 0.002231 0.003273
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000164 0.000320 0.000562 0.000946 0.001513 0.002295 0.003422
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000144 0.000295 0.000536 0.000927 0.001517 0.002342 0.003547
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000287 0.000537 0.000950 0.001581 0.002477 0.003800
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000278 0.000535 0.000967 0.001639 0.002604 0.004044
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000257 0.000511 0.000949 0.001643 0.002653 0.004179
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000237 0.000487 0.000928 0.001639 0.002689 0.004295
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000226 0.000477 0.000930 0.001672 0.002780 0.004491
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000218 0.000473 0.000940 0.001716 0.002889 0.004716
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000200 0.000449 0.000916 0.001706 0.002914 0.004817
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000183 0.000425 0.000889 0.001688 0.002927 0.004900
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000173 0.000415 0.000887 0.001710 0.003002 0.005075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000165 0.000406 0.000885 0.001734 0.003079 0.005255
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000154 0.000392 0.000874 0.001741 0.003129 0.005395